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EMPLOYMENT-BASED POLICIES FOR AN ECONOMIC RECOVERY |
Building a Full-Employment Agenda
As part of the Boston Review’s “New Democracy Forum” series, Robert Pollin examines the challenges inherent in creating and sustaining a full-employment economy in the United States. He considers why full employment should be a goal of a decent and egalitarian society, the potential definitions of full employment, and policy steps to move in that direction. Along with the many reasons for individuals, families, and the economy as a whole to seek full employment, Pollin describes how it can be joined with another fundamental policy aim: ending our dependence on fossil fuels and creating an economy powered by clean energy. Nine respondents--among them Jayati Ghosh, Eileen Appelbaum, and Ruy Teixeira--add their support, or critique of, Pollin's argument, and in turn, Pollin responds to them as well.
■ Read “New Democracy Forum: Back to Full Employment”
The Betrayal of Public Workers
As state budget crises worsen, policymakers are pointing to public workers’ salaries and pension funds as unreasonable burdens. In this article for The Nation, Robert Pollin and Jeffrey Thompson remind us that the recession was caused by Wall Street hyper-speculation, not the pay of school teachers or firefighters, and that public payrolls are a driver of our economy, not a burden on it. As lawmakers attempt to allow states to declare bankruptcy, effectively canceling obligations to public employees and their pension funds, Pollin and Thompson examine the reality behind these assertions, and present more appropriate routes to state fiscal health.
■ Download "The Betrayal of Public Workers"
■ Watch a video interview on this topic with Jeff Thompson and Robert Pollin
A Contract with Poverty in New Haven
In keeping with the trend of balancing state budgets on the backs of public workers, New Haven is considering outsourcing its public school custodial services to a private firm. Outsourcing would cut the cost of services in half, saving the city $8.1 million, or 19% percent of its deficit. But in “Pushing Working Families into Poverty,” Jeannette Wicks-Lim finds that the cost of that savings would be severe: the family of a custodian who continues to work in the New Haven Public Schools under the proposed contract would simply no longer be able to make ends meet.
■ Download "Pushing Working Families into Poverty: Assessing the New Haven Plan to Privatize the Public Schools’ Custodial Services"
Stop Blaming Immigrants for High Unemployment
In his most recent Economic Prospects column for New Labor Forum, Robert Pollin considers the charges made by some policymakers and segments of the population—including some Tea Party activists—that immigrants are to blame for the high rates of unemployment and that immigrants are soaking up government social spending budgets. The evidence he reviews finds that both charges are unsupportable. In an accompanying technical note focusing on the current recession, Pollin and Jeannette Wicks-Lim present data showing that, as with the years prior to the recession, there is no evidence supporting the idea that immigrants are to blame for the unemployment crisis.
■ Download "Economic Prospects: Can We Please Stop Blaming Immigrants?"
■ Download the technical note, "Did Immigrants in the U.S. Labor Market Make Conditions Worse for Native Workers During the Great Recession?"
■ Read previous Economic Prospects columns
Debunking the Structural Unemployment Story
In this cover article for Dollars & Sense, John Miller and Jeannette Wicks-Lim examine the argument being promoted by economists, policymakers, and the media that persistently high unemployment levels are due to a gap in skills and education on the part of workers. Miller and Wicks-Lim look carefully at the data, and conclude that the reality of the situation—widespread job losses and the long, fruitless job searches of experienced workers—is that today’s employment problem is due to a jobs deficit across the economy. The authors recognize that this clarification puts the onus back on the federal government, which could help to remedy the problem if it had the political will to do so.
■ Download "Unemployment: A Jobs Deficit or a Skills Deficit?"
The Dynamics of Employment in the U.S. and Japan
The global integration of economies under neoliberal polices has had a fundamental impact on employment worldwide, although in distinct ways in different countries. In this paper, prepared for the Japan Society of Political Economy, James Heintz explores the intersections between the trajectories of globalization, changes to the structure of employment, and policies aimed at protecting decent work opportunities from a comparative, global perspective. Heintz examines changing patterns of employment in Japan and the U.S. in recent years, looking in particular at the effects of financialization, the formation of asset price bubbles, and the subsequent crises in each country.
■ Download "The Structure of Employment, Globalization, and Economic Crises: Rethinking Contemporary Employment Dynamics with a Focus on the U.S. and Japan"
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| EPA CLEAN AIR GAS REGULATIONS: CREATING JOBS AND CLEANER ELECTRICITY |
In this study commissioned by Ceres, James Heintz, Heidi Garrett-Peltier, and Ben Zipperer find that air pollution rules being proposed by the Environmental Protection Agency for the electric power sector will provide economic benefits and jobs across much of the United States, concentrated especially in the next five years. Focusing on 36 states, the study assesses the potential employment impacts of the transformation of the nation’s energy generation plants to a cleaner, more efficient fleet, through investments in pollution controls and the retirement of outdated plants. The study details the jobs that would be created over the course of the country's transition to a cleaner, modernized generation fleet under new EPA clean air standards expected to be finalized in 2011: the Clean Air Transport Rule, focused on sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions; and the Utility MACT rule which, for the first time, will set limits on hazardous air pollutants such as mercury, arsenic, lead and hydrochloric acid.
■ Download "New Jobs — Cleaner Air: Employment Effects Under Planned Changes to the EPA's Air Pollution Rules"
■ Read a sample of the media coverage of the study
■ Watch a video interview on this topic with James Heintz
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| CONSIDERING ECONOMICS: COMMENTARY ON THE PROFESSION |
Reflections on Development Economics: An Interview with Keith Griffin
In an interview conducted by PERI's James Boyce for the journal Development and Change, Keith Griffin reflects on his career and the current state of development economics. Griffin is Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus at the University of California, Riverside, and former President of Magdalen College, Oxford University. A prominent critic of orthodox economic development strategies, his books include Underdevelopment in Spanish America; The Political Economy of Agrarian Change; and Alternative Strategies for Economic Development.
■ Read "Reflections: An Interview with Keith Griffin"
A Code of Ethics for Economists
As Gerald Epstein and Jessica Carrick-Hagenbarth recently showed in their paper, "Financial Economists, Financial Interests and Dark Corners of the Meltdown: It’s Time to Set Ethical Standards for the Economics Profession," the economics profession has no official standards or ethical code to regulate potential conflicts of interest between economists' roles as experts and their frequent roles as consultants and agents of private firms. Epstein and Carrick-Hagenbarth have spearheaded an effort to remedy this issue with a letter to the American Economic Association, which has garnered the support of close to 300 economists, and drawn the attention of the national media.
■ Read the economists' letter to the American Economic Association
■ Read the coverage in the The Economist, The New York Times and Bloomberg
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| DODD-FRANK FINANCIAL REFORM: MOVING FORWARD WITH A LESS-THAN-PERFECT LAW |
Regulating Wall Street: Exploring the Political Economy of the Possible
In "Regulating Wall Street: Exploring the Political Economy of the Possible," Gerald Epstein and Robert Pollin ask: under what conditions is the Dodd-Frank financial reform law capable of succeeding in controlling speculation and promoting stability? The legislation lays out merely a broad framework for a new financial regulatory system, with little specificity, leaving its implementation contested terrain. Yet supporters of real financial regulation can still achieve significant victories, and Epstein and Pollin offer three central areas where they believe these efforts should be focused: 1) proprietary trading, 2) oversight of credit rating agencies, and 3) regulation of commodities futures derivative markets.
■ Download "Regulating Wall Street: Exploring the Political Economy of the Possible"
Commentary on Dodd-Frank and the Evolution of the Law
In this series of policy briefs, SAFER (A Committee of Economists and other Experts for Stable, Accountable, Fair and Efficient Financial Reform) economists, among them James Crotty, Jane D'Arista, Gerald Epstein, James Heintz, Michael Konczal, Arjun Jayadev, Iren Levina, Robert Pollin, and Jennifer Taub, discuss a range of issues which were integral to the debate over the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill, and respond to federal agencies' requests for comments on rule-making in response to the final law. The themes covered remain critical in the current context of implementation of the law, and for consideration of future regulation of the financial industry and institutions.
■ Read the SAFER commentary on implementation of the Dodd-Frank financial reform law |
| PERI ECONOMISTS HONORED WITH NATIONAL RECOGNITIONS |
Jeffrey Thompson Awarded National Tax Journal's Musgrave Prize
Jeffrey Thompson and his co-author, Katie Fitzpatrick, were recently awarded the National Tax Journal’s prestigious Musgrave Prize for the best paper published in that journal in 2010. The journal describes the prize as recognizing “new research contributions with strong analytic underpinnings, rigorous argument buttressed by empirical evidence, a respect for the history of research and practice, and the promise of improving public policies.” The paper recognized, "The Interaction of Metropolitan Cost-of-living and the Federal Earned Income Tax Credit: One Size Fits All?," explores the interaction between the federal Earned Income Tax Credit and the reality of daily expenses faced by single mothers.
■ Download "The Interaction of Metropolitan Cost-of-living and the Federal Earned Income Tax Credit: One Size Fits All?"
James Boyce Awarded The Common Heritage Award from the Media Freedom Foundation and Project Censored
James K. Boyce has been named the 2011 recipient of the Fair Sharing of the Common Heritage Award, presented by Project Censored and the Media Freedom Foundation, which recognizes work "that express the ideas behind the original economic and social theories of Alfred Frederick Andersen...that every sentient being – human and non-human – has a right to the fair share of the material and economic benefits of the Common Heritage Wealth."
■ Read Boyce's acceptance speech, in which he expands on the proposition that the environment belongs in common and equal measure to us all
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| PERI WORKING PAPERS |
Engel’s Law Around the World 150 Years Later
Richard Anker
Anker looks at the extent to which Engel’s law is relevant in today’s world by looking across countries at the relationship between the share of household expenditure spent on food and national income per capita, facilitating analysis of this relationship, especially by development level.
Dynamics of Output and Employment in the U.S. Economy
Deepankar Basu and Duncan K. Foley
Basu and Foley investigate the changing relationship between employment and real output in the U.S. economy from 1948 to 2010. They offer insights into deeper structural changes that have taken place in the U.S. economy over the past few decades.
Financing Peace: International and National Resources for Postconflict Countries and Fragile States
James Boyce and Shepard Forman
In this background paper for the World Bank’s World Development Report 2011, Boyce and Forman discuss financing arrangements for postconflict countries and fragile states, with a focus on official development assistance. They consider how international aid can more effectively help build resilient states and durable peace.
Outsourcing, Demand and Employment Loss in U.S. Manufacturing, 1990 – 2005
James Burke, Seung-Yun Oh and Gerald Epstein
Burke, Oh, and Epstein consider new measures of foreign outsourcing to track changes in the offshoring of manufacturing activity and to explore how offshoring, along with other factors, is related to the dramatic dislocation of workers in the U.S. manufacturing sector in recent years.
Achieving Ethical Trade through Social Tariffs: The SITS Regime
George DeMartino, Jonathan Moyer and Kate Watkins
The authors explore the construction of a hypothetical Social Index Tariff Structure (SITS) at the corporate level, estimate the effects of such a regime on bilateral trade flows; and generate estimates of the development funds that SITS would make available to promote human development in low-income countries.
Financial Economists, Financial Interests and Dark Corners of the Meltdown:
It’s Time to Set Ethical Standards for the Economics Profession
Gerald Epstein and Jessica Carrick-Hagenbarth
Epstein and Carrick-Hagenbarth analyze the conflict of interest that exists when academic financial economists, acting in their roles as presumed objective experts in the media and academia on topics such as financial regulation, fail to report their private financial affiliations.
Regaining Control? Capital Controls and the Global Financial Crisis
Kevin Gallagher
Capital controls have re-emerged as legitimate tools to promote financial stability in the context of the transformation in thinking and practice regarding the role of government in managing international capital flows, triggered by the global financial crisis. Gallagher traces and evaluates their effects in Brazil, South Korea, and Taiwan.
Promising Avenues, False Starts and Dead Ends:
Global Governance and Development Finance in the Wake of the Crisis
Ilene Grabel
Grabel addresses three related questions: How is the crisis affecting the governance of the IMF and the influence that developing countries have within the institution? What policy space is available to developing countries? And what are the prospects that alternative financial architectures will emerge as competitors or complements to the Fund?
Supporting Africa’s Post-Crisis Growth: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies
Léonce Ndikumana and Zuzana Brixiová
The authors discuss macroeconomic policies that would help African countries, especially the low-income countries, reach strong, sustained and shared growth in the post-crisis world, and discuss factors behind the continent’s overall good performance during the crisis and relatively fast recovery.
Quantitative Easing: A Keynesian Critique
Thomas I. Palley
Keynesian economists have generally supported quantitative easing (QE) on grounds it increases aggregate demand. This paper argues that QE may backfire with respect to demand stimulus, create potentially significant future dangers, and is supportive of a plutocratic political economy based on “asset market trickle-down” that obstructs needed policy change.
Financialization and the Global Economy
Engelbert Stockhammer
Stockhammer discusses financialization, highlighting: changes in household behavior, changes in the behaviour of non-financial businesses, and changes in the financial sector. He examines how financialization has interacted with a polarization of the income distribution to generate the structural imbalances that led to the crisis of 2007-09.
Costly Migration and the Incidence of State and Local Taxes
Jeffrey Thompson
Thompson shows that the pre-tax wages of highly-educated and experienced workers are relatively unresponsive to tax changes, while the wages of young and highly-educated workers – those facing the lowest costs of migration – are quite responsive.
Financial Stress and Asymmetric Financial Decisions
Christian E. Weller and Amy Helburn
Weller and Helburn examine the link between stress due to the lack of financial security and financial decisions. They find that the asymmetric effect of financial stress on financial decisions may cause exogenous asset shocks to result in a reduced focus on long-term wealth building among households.
On Uneven Ground: How Corporate Governance Prioritizes Short-term Speculative Investments,
Impedes Productive Investments, and Jeopardizes Productivity Growth
Christian E. Weller and Luke Reidenbach
Weller and Reidenbach examine policy goals that would promote a better economic equilibrium between short-run and long-run goals at the corporate level, by defining long-term performance measures and finding a better balance in the incentives of short-run and long-run oriented corporate stakeholders. |
| COMMENTARY FROM PERI ECONOMISTS |
This feature on the PERI website gathers brief, accessible columns and blogs by PERI economists. Recent postings include:
Outsourcing, Trade Agreements, and Employment: Lame Duck or Just Plain Lame?
Gerald Epstein asks whether the so-called “free trade” agreements that the administration is pushing are really “free investment” agreements that open up developing countries to foreign direct investment by US multinational corporations.
Full-Employment Economic Policies
Robert Pollin answers questions on why, and how, the U.S. should pursue a true full-employment policy, and why such a policy remains realistic even in the current fiscal environment.
EITC and Minimum Wage: We Need Both to Make Work Pay
Jeannette Wicks-Lim lays out how the EITC and a decent wage floor can work together to create decent living standards, and why claims that the two policies must be set against each other are misleading.
The Environment as Our Common Heritage: Acceptance Speech for the Common Heritage Award
James K. Boyce expands on the proposition that the environment belongs in common and equal measure to us all, describing the common responsibility it bears with it, and celebrating “the great steps forward that humankind has made. . . on the road to establishing that the environment is our common heritage both as a matter of moral principle and as a matter of law.”
Fighting to Prevent Global Hunger
Robert Pollin explains why, to effectively fight for social justice, readers must be aware of the potential impact of the current activities of the federal Commodities Futures Trading Commission, which can have a profound impact on food price volatility, and, by extension, global hunger.
Stop Free Pollution: Going Beyond Cap and Trade
James K. Boyce explains how a cap-and-dividend policy would: provide incentives to cut pollution, drive investment in clean technologies, protect working families from the impact of price increases resulting from permits on their purchasing power, and be a politically viable way to stop the travesty of free pollution.
Fed Bashing at the G-20: A Return to the Gold Standard Anyone?
Gerald Epstein explores the recent opposition to the Federal Reserve's 'quantitative easing' program, supports the Administration's defense of the policy, and asks that critics look, instead, at the fundamental neoliberal assumptions underpinning international monetary policies.
For the Must-Do List: Retire the Dysfunctional Key Currency System
Jane D'Arista looks ahead at the November 2010 G-20 meetings, and asks that proposals for creating a new international monetary system top the agenda. She argues that less fundamental solutions will not only fail to prevent excessive imbalances and currency wars, but will perpetuate a system that can continue to block economic recovery.
The Three R's of Real Security
James K. Boyce lays out three principles by which true national security may be achieved: resilience--specifically building a resiliant economic infrastructure; responsibility--crafting policies that incorporate the costs of actions along with their benefits; and respect--in particular, fighting terror without resorting to bigotry or torture.
Conflicts of Interest and the Financial Crisis
Gerald Epstein presents a brief sketch of the potential conflicts of interest that economists may have had in the years leading up to the crisis, which may have led them to act in their own personal best interest rather than in the interest of society as a whole. |
| PERI AND THE REAL NEWS NETWORK |
| Video interviews on timely economic policy questions |
James K. Boyce
October 2010: The future of climate change policy
October 2010: National security and personal responsibility
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James Crotty
November 2010: The future under an austerity regime
November 2010: Business using crises to roll back wages |
Jane D'Arista
December 2010: The fundamentals of the Federal Reserve
November 2010: The idea of a return to the gold standard
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Arindrajit Dube
February 2011: The effects of the public health insurance option
in San Francisco
October 2010: The effect of minimum wages on jobs
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Gerald Epstein
January 2011: Conflicts of interest among economists
January 2011: The fate of financial reform
October 2010: The distraction of currency wars in China
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Nancy Folbre
December 2010: The unemployment rates of men and women |
James Heintz
March 2011: Job creation from EPA regulation of air quality
October 2010: The effects of bubble economies on employment
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Robert Pollin
March 2011: with Fred Smith, Debating the impact of investments in clean energy
March 2011: How commodity speculation has driven up fuel prices
February 2011: with Jeffrey Thompson, The effects of cuts in public payrolls
February 2011: with Jayati Ghosh, The high cost of food price volatility
January 2011: with Bill Fletcher, The Sputnik moment and the State of the Union address
December 2010: with Leo Panitch, Austerity, stimulus, and financial regulation November 2010: Who benefits from deflation?
November 2010: The Fed's $600 billion stimulus plan
November 2010: Trade and currency laws
September 2010: Why austerity is not the answer to the U.S. recession
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Jeffrey Thompson
February 2011: with Robert Pollin, The effects of cuts in public payrolls
October 2010: The wage gap between the public and private sectors
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Jeannette Wicks-Lim
December 2010: Policies that could create decent living standards
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UPCOMING EVENTS
For more information or to download the seminar papers, please go to the PERI online calendar. |
March 28. 2011, 6:00
Recovering from the Recession: A Panel Discussion
Robert Pollin and Jeffrey Thompson
John F. Kennedy Library
Columbia Point Boston, Mass
April 1. 2011, 2:30
Reconnecting to Work: Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment and Prospects for Job Creation
Robert Pollin
Ackerman Student Union Building
University of California, Los Angeles
April 22. 2011, 9:00 am – 5:30 pm
Digging Out from Crisis and Austerity in Europe and The United States: Finance, Job Creation, Public Ownership and Green Recovery
Panelists will include:
Jane D’Arista, PERI, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Gerald Epstein, PERI, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Robert Guttman, Hofstra University
James Heintz, PERI, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Mark Kesselman, Columbia University
Jonathan Michie, University of Oxford
Dominique Plihon, Paris-Nord University
Robert Pollin, PERI, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Jennifer Taub, Isenberg School of Management, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Bruno Tinel, Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne University and Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne
Gordon Hall, third floor conference room
May 12. 2011
Vermont Businesses for Social Responsibility
Jeffrey Thompson
University of Vermont Davis Center
Burlington, Vermont |
University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Department of Economics Seminars and Lectures
March 21. 2011, 4:00
International Income Inequality: Measuring PPP Bias by Estimating Engel Curves for Food
Ingvild Almas, Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
March 22. 2011, 4:00
Towards a Critical Theory of Socialism: From Vienna to Santa Fe
Duncan Foley, New School for Social Research
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
March 23. 2011, 4:00
Relations of Production and Modes of Knowledge Appropriation: A Case Study of Weaving in India
Amit Basole, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 1. 2011, 1:30
Topic TBA
Casey Stevens, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Gordon Hall, third floor conference room
April 4. 2011, 4:00
Central Banking and Systemic Risk in Capital Markets
Andy Brimmer, Brimmer & Co.
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 6. 2011, 4:00
The End of 9 to 5: Freelancers, Empty Offices and the Transformation of Work
Richard Greenwald, Drew University
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 8. 2011, 1:30
Environmental Injustice in Texas: Exposure of Mothers to Industrial Air Toxics
Helen Scharber, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Gordon Hall, third floor conference room
April 12. 2011, 4:00
Beyond Redistribution: Examining the Implications of the Inverse Relationship between Land Size and Productivity in Kenya
Mwangi wa Githinji, Charalampos Konstantinidis and Andy Barenberg, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 15. 2011, 1:30
The Resource Curse Revisited: Chinese Investment in Latin America
Kevin Gallagher, Boston University
Gordon Hall, third floor conference room
April 19. 2011, 4:00
SSA Theory for the Arab World? Egypt and Tunisia in Comparative Perspective
Karen Pfeiffer, Smith College
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 20. 2011, 4:00
Heterogeneous Labor Relations, Small Farms, and Cooperatives:
An Empirical Investigation of Peru's Coffee Growers
Noah Enelow, Hampshire College
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 25. 2011, 4:00
An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Properties of Piece-Rate Contracts:
Ratchet Effects and Social Conflict in an Early U.S. Textile Mill
Dan MacDonald, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 26. 2011, 4:00
The Different Economy of the Self-Employed Sector in India
Arpita Banerjee, Hamilton College
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
April 29. 2011, 1:30
Biofuels in Brazil: A Critical Appraisal
Darlene Ramos Dias, Universidade Federal do ABC, Brazil
Gordon Hall, third floor conference room
May 2. 2011, 4:00
Profit Sharing, Distribution and Growth
Gilberto Lima, Visiting Scholar, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
May 3. 2011, 4:00
Sexual Violence and Female Employment
Catherine Finoff, University of Massachusetts, Boston
Thompson Hall, ninth floor conference room
May 6. 2011, 1:30
Book launch for America's Climate Problem: The Way Forward
Robert Repetto, Yale University
Gordon Hall, third floor conference room |
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