U.S. Debt and Global Imbalances
Abstract:
Concern about global imbalances has been building since the
1990s and analysts from a variety of disciplines have called attention to
aspects of the problem, ranging from the unsustainability of the U.S.
current account position to the role of ‘under’ and ‘over’ saving rates in deficit
and surplus countries. Many analysts assume that imbalances arise as a result
of developments and policies within national economies. This paper argues that
imbalances also result from interactions at the global level and are at least
partially shaped by pressures generated by the current international monetary
and payments systems on the direction and volume of international capital
flows.
This paper discusses the ways in which a fiat currency and
privatized international payments system under the guardianship of a few
wealthy developed countries and their private multinational financial
institutions have contributed to the problem.
It examines the U.S.
international investment position, noting the links between changes in net capital
flows and credit expansion and between foreign exchange reserves held in the U.S. and
liquidity creation. It discusses the risks in failing to address the U.S. foreign
debt problem and offers proposals needed to address the monetary aspects of
global imbalances.